10/20/2007

Zogby Online Poll claims that 50 percent of Voters would never vote for Hillary Clinton

I guess that I am a little dubious of this type of poll, though Zogby claims that these surveys are reasonably accurate. However, one thing to take into account is that some candidates may have low numbers simply because they are not that well known. People won't say that they would never vote for someone whom they don't know much about. That said, Hillary's numbers seem to be going up, not down, and at 50 percent, they are dangerously high. My guess is that this will be a very close presidential race. If Hillary wins, she will do so with only around 50 to 53 percent of the vote.

The online survey of 9,718 likely voters nationwide showed that 50 percent said Clinton would never get their presidential vote. This is up from 46 percent who said they could never vote for Clinton in a Zogby International telephone survey conducted in early March. Older voters are most resistant to Clinton — 59 percent of those age 65 and older said they would never vote for the New York senator, but she is much more acceptable to younger voters: 42 percent of those age 18-29 said they would never vote for Clinton for president. . . . .


On the other side, Fred Thompson has the fewest number of people who say that they will not vote for him among major candidates from both parties.

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2 Comments:

Blogger TYF said...

While these numbers are encouraging, the only problem is that the 50% who will never vote for Hillary...won't necessarily be voting for the GOP nominee. Some of them may very well choose to stay home, or abstain in the Presidential contest.

10/20/2007 11:34 PM  
Blogger John Lott said...

Thank you. I assume that Zogby polls usually focus on likely voters, though that assumption could be wrong.

10/21/2007 11:20 AM  

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