Welcome! Please e-mail me with any questions at johnrlott@aol.com.
2/12/2008
Markets indicate Obama's chance of winning the nomination are about 2.5 times that for Clinton
The University of Iowa has a market where you can bid on the Democratic and Republican primaries and predict who will win. McCain has an almost 94 percent chance of winning, and Obama is over 70 percent. Personally, I think that given how left-wing Obama is he will be easier to defeat than most might think.
Amazed how lucky I am that I have had jobs where I could just think about whatever I wanted to think about.
This summer I will be moving to the University of Maryland. Previously I held positions at the University of Chicago, Yale University, Stanford, UCLA, Wharton, and Rice and was the chief economist at the United States Sentencing Commission during 1988 and 1989. I have published over 90 articles in academic journals. I received my Ph.D. in economics from UCLA in 1984.
1 Comments:
I hope you're right! I already know that we can survive a Clinton. Obama, though, who knows?
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